It is now clear that we are at one of those epoch changing moments in British political history. Just as the 'Winter of Discontent' in 1978/79 marked a paradigm shift, an utter and complete reversal of the pre-existing order and the arrival of something new, something revolutionary and something transformative – so the present unprecedented  debt crisis of 2008/2009 is doing the same.

1979 brought an end to the welfare state, 2009 will see an end to the market state and the next election will, with the election of the Conservative party, usher in the birth of the civic state.

We know what was wrong and what was right with the welfare state, it is right to provide a floor through which people cannot fall, it is right to have a safety net which catches and supports people who for reasons of health, wealth or market fluctuation cannot sustain themselves in the interim. Finally it is right to secure the general well being of all through a universal account of the common good and the necessity of full participation in it.

However we also know that welfare is a far more effective ceiling than it is an adequate floor – it traps as many as it helps and condemns therefore a whole class to permanent poverty and dependence. Furthermore welfare dis-empowers its recipients – the philosophy of entitlement destroys consciousness of mutuality and it fragments working class culture and permanently disables the associative drive that alone can make communities and foster the development of wealth and independence. Finally welfarism was the Faustian bargain that the left struck with monopoly capitalism, it ensures a kind of permanent ascendancy of the middle over the working class and creates an antagonistic feudal structure – where any genuine extension of power and ownership to the poor is resisted by the liberal middle classes who fear mostly for their own status and their sole assumed inherited right to social mobility. (Just look at British schooling).

Similarly we know what is right and what is wrong with the market state. Clearly the market is a more effective and efficient mechanism for the distribution of many resources than the state. Evidently if one can enter the market place and if one has something to trade – the market creates wealth, and prosperity. Finally there is the manifest good of liberty and unless this has an economic reality – one would exist under the permanent subjugation of the state, or the private cartel.

Yet we also know what is wrong with the market state – too often it replaces a public monopoly with a private cartel. In the name of breaking up the state too little attempt was applied to breaking up the market.  Under the dispensation of the market state, private replaced public monopoly and market entry was effectively and progressively denied to newcomers. The majority of Britons having being denied entry to the market lost any access to investment capital.  Thus the ability to transform one's life or situation steadily declined as wealth flowed upwards rather than downwards and a new oligarchical class, asset rich and leverage keen, assumed market freedom was synonymous with their complete ascendancy. market fundamentalism abandoned the fundamentals of markets. Prudent chancellors promised no more boom and bust, the state sanctioned monopoly capitalism and sat happy on the tax receipts of unrestrained global gambling. As Labour stoked the engine of inequality – it abandoned the rest of the economy for the receipts of city speculation and the re-distributive power of welfarism. Thus the market and the welfare state merged into one as they both colluded in a system whose bankruptcy is now ongoing and self-evident.

The welfare state and the market state are now two defunct and mutually supporting failures. The real merit of the current conservative renaissance has in some way escaped notice. Those on the now bankrupt  left  argue that the new Toryism is but a cover for Thatcherism Mark II, while those on the bankrupt right secretly agree and seem to want nothing more than a return to monopoly capitalism and the dominance of their kind of people.

Modern conservatism rejects both dispensations as it seeks to replace the welfare and the market state with the civic state.  The civic state aims to blend the benefits of welfare and the market mechanism not by favouring one or the other but by exceeding both. The Conservative's new civic settlement privileges the associative above the alienated, the responsible over the self-serving and  the communal over the individual (though of course both emerge together out of a vision of the good society). As such Cameron's political agenda is far more radical, far-reaching and transformative than the majority suspect. It offers a way out of the failed class based politics of the past, it would offer through expanded notions of ownership a way to escape the conflicts between capital and labour. It could inveigh with equal vigour against the public monopolies of state and the private cartels of the market – in order to break down the barriers to market participation and individual capitalisation. Finally it could undo the ruinous consequences of state sanctioned multi-culturalism and the lazy moral and social relativism of the liberal middle class. By injecting a new moral purpose and political culture into Britain – Cameron could and should fashion a new compact of mutual responsibility and binding social ethic. As such modern Conservatism could be the foundation of a new commonwealth and a new and better way to live our lives.

But if politics is real, if it intervenes and makes a difference then progressive conservatism must tell us how it gets there from here. How does Cameron's conservatism realise the civic state that is so needed and so desired.

In the face of the current collapse of credit engendered and state sanctioned monopoly capitalism, the most urgent need is for conservatives to craft an entirely new political economy and a refigured paradigm for markets and trade. This new progressive conservative economics would pursue three interrelated goals: the remoralisation of the market, relocalisation of the economy and recapitalization of the poor.

Only markets located in and shaped by a moral architecture are sustainable, as Adam Smith understood. Without law, morality, custom and conscience we would have anarchy in place of exchange, and extortion in place of contract. Economic output needs to pass a series of social tests, and the Conservatives need to tie economic policy to the social outcomes they favour. For conservatives it must be the extension of wealth, assets and the benefits of ecological and social well being to all. Freedom from the monopoly dominance of state bureaucracy and market power would allow independence for the formation of community and autonomy and a rebalancing of the demands of work, family and childcare.

Second, more attention needs to be paid to the health of local economies. Labour's 'market state', subservient to big business, has generated a nation of 'clone towns' and 'ghost towns' where retail outlets are either identical or absent. Blair and Brown's worship of monopoly markets produced the paradox of competition without competitors, an almost exclusive favouring of the big box retail model and the permanent dominance of supermarkets. Small business are squeezed out by the monopolistic power of trans-national enterprises, and the barriers to market entry that their economies of scale represent. Small wonder that the UK has one of the lowest percentages of small and medium businesses in the OECD.

But small and medium businesses are how millions ordinary people own and secure the wealth for themselves and their families. The present market dispossesses them and re-categorizes them as permanent members of the low-waged shop serving, rather than shop owning, class. By toughening planning laws and reforming local tax bases, conservatives can restore local economies and local capital, so that the benefits of trade flow downwards to all participants rather than upwards to the tax-avoiding off-shore aristocracy of Brown's Britain.

The third goal of modern, progressive conservatism is the recapitalisation of the poor. Under the reign of the monopoly market, the poor have been wholly dispossessed. In 1976 the bottom 50% of the population owned 12% of the nation's liquid wealth; by 2003 they had just 1%. In the same period, the share enjoyed by the top 10% rose from 57% to 71%. Even when property is included, the bottom half of the population still only owns just 7% of the country's wealth. Savings rates have declined to levels last seen in the 1940's, wages at the bottom have risen slowest and the poverty gap - both relative and absolute - has widened while the elite lectured us on the universal benefits of global capitalism. A new conservative agenda of ownership extension and security is therefore urgently required. If the most vulnerable victims of Labour's debt-financed depression are to be saved from re-proletarianisation and permanent subjection to an inadequate welfare state, a new popular philosophy of asset extension and stakeholder equity capitalism is required. 

To conclude, the new conservatism is accused of being shallow or extreme – of being vapid or a sinister covert Thatcherism of the most insidious intent. It can't be both – since in fact it is neither. On the contrary it is something new and unrecognised – it represents a deep and profound critique of the pre-existing extremes and a restoration of something close to the real heart of Britain : an organic conservatism that cares for all.

Neil McDonald

I have only read your blog quickly and somewhat superficially. I find myself in much agreement with a great deal. I like the notion of of a civic state. I also think you should take account of over managed public services. I suggest a culling of unnecessary middle management; a granting of responsibility and creativity to the front line. But I like your drift. However, when Blair came to power he ignored the initial interest in the notion of stake-holding. Will not Cameron do the same as I expect he will win the next election with a substantial majority? Perhaps I lack any faith in these politicians whatever theirparty.

Lynn Craig

I heard you speaking on Andrew Marr's 'Start the Week' this morning. I liked some of what you were saying, something about community activity at ground level, developing from the needs of the people out to the government to gain support for roots level activities (forgive me if my paraphrasing is incorrect). 'Organic conservatism' might be what you would call a way forward out of the void we (Britain) is in currently. I agree it must be 'organic' but it can't be conservatism, nor socialism, nor liberalism. We must sweep all that language away and not hang anything on those old coat hangars.
DEMOS, IPPR - all those 'think tanks' - you are not coming up with the goods, you are tampering at the edges with all your academic prowess.
The 'answer lies with the proles' - always did, and those who sought power have used that power so corruptly as to create obstacles to prevent the ordinary person from accessing power through their naturally organic restoration behaviours. Trust the people to come up with their own solutions, and back their hard work - using civil servants to be just that, the servants of civilians. Create a new framework for a relationship between communities and civil servants which cuts out all the career politicians and creates true democracy from the ground up. Use your academic prowess to create that framework.

John Moseley

My sister, who works in social services, just sent me this, asking what I thought. My reply went long. I thought I might as well post it here too:

Not sure. I think, first of all, that the word conservatism doesn't sound as if it means much in this context. It doesn't seem to mean a kind of Burkean faith in tradition, and it doesn't appear to mean Thatcherism either, (though if it doesn't include a rolling back of privatisation, which it almost certainly won't, it'll be pretty Thatcherite, just as Blairism was). In a sense, what it and other related things I've read about the current conservative agenda sound most like is anarchism...though that, to be fair, is actually quite close to traditional conservatism in some respects. There's the clue: probably what's encoded here, which is actually standard, even core conservatism, is the old value of 'small government' reframed as a shift of emphasis from centralised government power to civic participation. It sounds lovely, of course, especially after the manifest managerial excesses of New Labour. There are also strong reasons for supporting local autonomy, not least the fact that it creates a network of social laboratories from which, in theory, the greatest successes in areas such as environmentalism or rubbish collection or social services can ultimately be selected and rolled out nationally. But who's going to identify and roll those successes out if the government shrinks down to nearly nothing? And anyway, if you reduce the number of MPs, as Cameron plans to do, don't you actually, implicitly, increase the size of localities and give the remaining MPs more power?Oops.

Another thing: the article's argument is based, from the outset, on a view of welfare that conservatives like to trot out as fact, but that, in fact, requires a lot more scrutiny. Welfare traps people in dependence and passivity (read 'It makes them work-shy')? One can give dozens of empirical examples that suggest otherwise. A recent Channel 4 documentary showed, in detail, the lives of ordinary people on some sort of outsourced welfare-to-work scheme. Every single person interviewed wanted a permanent job with long-term security. What they were repeatedly offered were short-term factory contracts with no security, even down to the scheduling of their shifts, no benefits, no prospects at all for career advancement or skills development and no real increase in prosperity compared with remaining on the dole. This is surely the reality of the much touted idea that Poles and Lithuanians have flooded over here to do the jobs that Brits are too 'lazy' to do themselves. One could also cite the numerous examples of local communities devastated by the loss of industries, a much more convincing trigger for the fragmentation of societies than the fact that the denizens of these communities end up on welfare. Blond seems to be mistaking symptom for cause.

I'll admit that I've also seen and heard things that suggest the opposite. It might have been you, though I don't think it was, who told me that youth in South East London regularly tell their careers counselors that they want to be 'record producers'. But they're also hobbled by the fact that they can earn loads as gangsters and virtually nothing as shelf stackers or box loaders, often, again, on short-term contracts. You can't really blame people for having unrealistic aspirations when reality offers them no realistic prospects.

Addressing all of this would, of course, require a bit of big government intervention, not in the form of more welfare handouts to make up for this shittiness of the way so many companies now treat their workers, but in the form of regulation of those companies to ensure they offer their staff some basic minimums that would make working for them worth the candle. OK, hang on, it's me, not the article, claiming this is all about small government. Maybe it's not. But still, one searches it in vain for the kind of basic regulatory stuff I'd want to see. Instead, when it's not simply being platitudinous, perhaps even euphemistic at great length, it says:

small and medium businesses are how millions ordinary people own and secure the wealth for themselves and their families. The present market dispossesses them and re-categorizes them as permanent members of the low-waged shop serving, rather than shop owning, class. By toughening planning laws and reforming local tax bases, conservatives can restore local economies and local capital, so that the benefits of trade flow downwards to all participants rather than upwards to the tax-avoiding off-shore aristocracy of Brown's Britain.

Which is ludicrously vague. And if someone is genuinely low-waged and shop-serving, how does recategorising them change their circumstances? I need a lot more reassurance than this article provides that this isn't simply a way of saying that all the underclass' current exploited aren't simply going to be re-categorised as 'small businesses', rather as numerous freelancers in my area of work are now, for tax reasons, required to register as businesses. And I need a lot more reassurance too that the shift of emphasis from welfare to the civic isn't simply another way of saying, it's time for the poor to start looking out for themselves and stop expecting a handout. Once again, if we've taken away their usual ways of looking after themselves and left them with nothing, what else are they supposed to do – especially if they're too badly educated to start an enterprise of their own?

There's probably a great deal more to say, but I haven't got time to write it and you probably don't have time to read it. The best analysis I've read recently of what's wrong with the country in general and New Labour in particular came from Seamus Milne in the Guardian, arguing that, yes, the country did, some quarter century ago, have to move away from a reliance, for employment, on manufacturing (due to the rise of lower-cost manufacturing bases abroad), but the solution was not, as first Thatcher and then Labour imagined, to allow the proliferative expansion of a gigantic financial services industry, but to foster, through education, a highly educated population in general, capable of creating high-quality products and services to sell around the world: a genuine knowledge economy.

It's ironic that this country, home of empiricist philosophy and still home to many, supposedly common-sensical materialist repudiators of the continent's metaphysical speculations, should have allowed itself to be so comprehensively defined by Chicago-school theories that resulted in the basic de-materialisation of the economic base, from manufacturing to services. I don't think there's any real paradox here, though. The Chicago-school theorists believed they were dealing with cold hard reality because the math never lied.

John Moseley

An afterthought: maybe the math itself didn't lie, but it seems to have provided a spurious justification for a lot of people who self-servingly believed they could create something out of nothing. Perhaps what we're living through now is the painful proof of kind Chicago-boy Milton Friedman's dictum: 'No free lunch.'

John Moseley

Sorry, typo. That should have read 'king Chicago-boy'.

OK, I'll stop now, really.

John Moseley

No, on second thought, several hours later – 'Progressive conservatism'? Is the oxymoron here intentional?

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