Peace
at 6:19pm on Thursday, 21st September 2006
International Alert , the NGO, has published some worrying statistics on the British public's perception of conflict in the world today.
In summary:
Two points that come to mind -
It feels too simplisitc to blame the media, yet it is instinctive to blame the constant barrage of headlines and pictures showing the world descending into chaos as a reason for the public's pessimism.
A lack of trust in the Government and politicans more generally means we are unlikley to listen to them (especially if the British Government policy on global terrorism is seen to be making the UK more dangerous).
Later this autumn we will be launching a new project on the public value of security which, among other things, aims to look into some of the issues raised in the YouGov poll. If you are interested in learning more about this project email me
In summary:
- 74% of respondents felt the world to be more violent today
- 70% felt that ‘religious differences’ was the most common reason for war
- 63% felt the situation would decline further in the next fifty years
- terrorism is perceived to be the second biggest violent threat today (38%) after crime in the UK (42%)
- the British Government’s policy on global terrorism is thought to be encouraging global instability (30%) and making the UK more dangerous (55%)
- 69% of respondents feel powerless to end violent conflict
Two points that come to mind -
It feels too simplisitc to blame the media, yet it is instinctive to blame the constant barrage of headlines and pictures showing the world descending into chaos as a reason for the public's pessimism.
A lack of trust in the Government and politicans more generally means we are unlikley to listen to them (especially if the British Government policy on global terrorism is seen to be making the UK more dangerous).
Later this autumn we will be launching a new project on the public value of security which, among other things, aims to look into some of the issues raised in the YouGov poll. If you are interested in learning more about this project email me
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Comments
I'm slightly puzzled by Robert's comments. He disagrees with the notion that terrorism and other types of crime are distinguishable. He then argues that 'unwitting conflation' of these concepts is to blame for the 'downhill slide'. I'm confused because he appears to be saying that, on the one hand, no distinction between terrorism and other crime is necessary, and on the other that the lack of categorisation is fuelling our fear. He cannot have it both ways.
Despite the fact that terrorism is a crime in most democratic jurisdictions that I am aware of, I would argue that we can, and should, make legal distinctions between terrorism and other criminal behaviour (this should not undermine the point that they are both types of crime). This is necessary to support our responses to terrorist activity. Put another way, if we were to follow Robert's advice, we would see financial fraud in the City, for example, as indistinguishable from gun violence in Birmingham, because they are both types of crime. Such an approach would seriously undermine any efforts to combat each type of crime. The same lesson must apply when dealing with terrorism because of the unique challenges that are posed in attempting to disrupt it, and the unique risks that arise when law enforcement agencies fail in their efforts.
As for the argument that an 'unwitting conflation' has fulled public pessimism, unsurprisingly, I disagree. I do not believe we are less able to distinguish between terrorism and other crime than before. On the contrary, I think the British public are more discerning now than ever before, partly because of the expansion in media output. I prefer the view (although I am not entirely convinced) that we may be more worried by problems of crime and terrorism now because the two are mutually reinforcing - this is to say that fear of one 'spills over' into fear of the other, creating a level of nervousness that is disproportionately great to the actual level of security threat.
More generally, the International Alert figures do point to an interesting paradox. I understand that the incidence of violent conflict across the world, and the mortality rate in each, is declining, although this is not the case verywhere. This would suggest that we are getting better at preventing the outbreak of conflict, and when conflict has started, mitigating the levels of violence. So, just at the moment when our conflict management performance is improving, why are we becoming more pessimistic about our ability to make positive changes?